Wealdstone vs Hartlepool: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Hartlepool?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Wealdstone (1,750) and Hartlepool (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hartlepool have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 0-10 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wealdstone win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hartlepool win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Wealdstone 7-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Wealdstone | National League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Wealdstone 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Hartlepool 1-1 Wealdstone | National League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Wealdstone 4-4 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Hartlepool 2-1 Wealdstone | National League |
Last archived meeting: Wealdstone vs Hartlepool on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wealdstone score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hartlepool score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hartlepool | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wealdstone sit 21st in National League (1 points from 3 matches) and Hartlepool sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 21 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Hartlepool?
- The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Wealdstone vs Hartlepool played?
- Wealdstone vs Hartlepool is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.