Wealdstone vs Worthing: prediction and stats
FA Cup4th Round QualifyingKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Worthing. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wealdstone wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wealdstone vs Worthing?
On Elo ratings, Wealdstone has 1,817 points and Worthing 2,015.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wealdstone vs Worthing
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wealdstone
4-3-3- 7L. Norris
- 9O. Olomola
- 26F. Okenabirhie
- 4J. Wells-Morrison
- 11Daniel Chesters
- 31R. Maher
- 12A. Francis-Clarke
- 22C. McAvoy
- 32Abraham Kanu
- 3J. Newton
- 1D. Baptiste
Worthing
4-3-3- 24C. Kendall
- 27J. Young
- 7R. Coleman De-Graft
- 15R. Aguiar
- 4J. Wadham
- 28C. Waller
- 6Jayden Moore
- 2J. Colbran
- 3C. Adjetey-Brew
- 5J. Cook
- 13T. Seymour
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Worthing have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-6 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 4-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Wealdstone wins, 0 draws, 1 Worthing win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worthing 1-0 Wealdstone | National League |
Last archived meeting: Worthing vs Wealdstone on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wealdstone score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Wealdstone vs Worthing?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Worthing?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Worthing.
- Where and when is Wealdstone vs Worthing played?
- Wealdstone vs Worthing is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.