Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion, Wegberg-Beeck
The Footlab model makes Wegberg-Beeck the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Düren Merzenich. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich?
Wegberg-Beeck starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wegberg-Beeck have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Düren Merzenich have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Frechen(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | SSV Merten(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Wegberg-Beeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Düren Merzenich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck 1-0 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Düren Merzenich 0-0 Wegberg-Beeck | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Düren Merzenich 3-0 Wegberg-Beeck | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Wegberg-Beeck 1-3 Düren Merzenich | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Düren Merzenich 2-3 Wegberg-Beeck | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wegberg-Beeck score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wegberg-Beeck | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wegberg-Beeck sit 6th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (51 points from 30 matches) and Düren Merzenich sit 11th (38 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wegberg-Beeck | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 62 | 35 | 51 |
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich?
- The Footlab model makes Wegberg-Beeck the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Düren Merzenich.
- Where and when is Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich played?
- Wegberg-Beeck vs Düren Merzenich is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.