Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, Köln
The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Köln II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV?
Siegburger SV starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Siegburger SV have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Siegburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Siegburger SV 4-2 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 1-1 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 1-4 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Siegburger SV 1-0 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Fortuna Köln II 0-0 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Siegburger SV 3-3 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Siegburger SV vs Fortuna Köln II on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln II sit 10th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (45 points from 30 matches) and Siegburger SV sit 3rd (63 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Köln II.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV played?
- Fortuna Köln II vs Siegburger SV is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.