Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II played?

Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg

Weiche Flensburg

St. Pauli II

The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?

Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,761).

Weiche Flensburg win65 %

Draw18 %

St. Pauli II win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weiche Flensburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 19, 2026	Werder Bremen II(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 15, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Eimsbütteler TV(home)	5-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 1, 2026	VfB Lübeck(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord

St. Pauli II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	SSV Jeddeloh(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Bremer SV(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Todesfelde(away)	4-6	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2026	Eintracht Norderstedt(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 St. Pauli II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Weiche Flensburg 1-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 21, 2025	St. Pauli II 1-3 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
May 3, 2025	Weiche Flensburg 0-1 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord
Oct 20, 2024	St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Mar 17, 2024	St. Pauli II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg	Regionalliga - Nord
Sep 23, 2023	Weiche Flensburg 0-5 St. Pauli II	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Weiche Flensburg	2.3	1.3	3	12/15	10/15
St. Pauli II	1.2	1.9	1	10/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	5	4	1	0	17	7	13
14	St. Pauli II	4	1	0	3	6	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?: The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for St. Pauli II.
Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II played?: Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.