Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab AI model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?
Weiche Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (2,014 vs 1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Weiche Flensburg
Not enough data to predict the Weiche Flensburg lineup.
St. Pauli II
Not enough data to predict the St. Pauli II lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 09:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; St. Pauli II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | St. Pauli II(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 3, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 17, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 11, 2026 | HSC Hannover(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kickers Emden(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Weiche Flensburg win, 3 draws, 2 St. Pauli II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | St. Pauli II 3-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Weiche Flensburg 1-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 21, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-3 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 3, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 0-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 20, 2024 | St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 17, 2024 | St. Pauli II 0-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (34 points from 15 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 15th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 34 |
| 15 | St. Pauli II | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 13 |
A question about Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027VfB LübeckvsTodesfelde
- Apr 10, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsPhönix Lübeck
- Apr 10, 2027SSV JeddelohvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Apr 10, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsHannover 96 II
- Apr 10, 2027HSC HannovervsWerder Bremen II
- Apr 10, 2027Hamburger SV IIvsBremer SV
- Apr 10, 2027VfB OldenburgvsSchöningen
- Apr 10, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsKickers Emden