Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 14Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ostfriesland-Stadion, Emden
The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Kickers Emden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Kickers Emden (1,915) and Phönix Lübeck (1,957).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Emden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Phönix Lübeck have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 2-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bremer SV(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kickers Emden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Phönix Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck 2-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kickers Emden 1-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kickers Emden 0-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Phönix Lübeck 1-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Phönix Lübeck 1-2 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Kickers Emden 0-3 Phönix Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Phönix Lübeck vs Kickers Emden on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Phönix Lübeck score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Phönix Lübeck | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kickers Emden sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and Phönix Lübeck sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix Lübeck the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Kickers Emden.
- Where and when is Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck played?
- Kickers Emden vs Phönix Lübeck is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Ostfriesland-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026VfB LübeckvsSt. Pauli II
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht NorderstedtvsEimsbütteler TV
- Oct 17, 2026Weiche FlensburgvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Oct 17, 2026SSV JeddelohvsWerder Bremen II
- Oct 17, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsBremer SV
- Oct 17, 2026HSC HannovervsTodesfelde
- Oct 17, 2026Hamburger SV IIvsVfB Oldenburg
- Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96 IIvsSchöningen