Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Manfred-Werner-Stadion, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Weiche Flensburg (1,949) and VfB Lübeck (1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weiche Flensburg have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weiche Flensburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 1-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| May 16, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 0-1 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 2-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Weiche Flensburg 1-1 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 20, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 1-2 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 28, 2023 | VfB Lübeck 2-0 Weiche Flensburg | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weiche Flensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weiche Flensburg sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nord (13 points from 5 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Weiche Flensburg the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for VfB Lübeck.
- Where and when is Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Weiche Flensburg vs VfB Lübeck is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Manfred-Werner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Mar 13, 2027Bremer SVvsWerder Bremen II
- Mar 13, 2027SSV JeddelohvsVfB Oldenburg
- Mar 13, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsHamburger SV II
- Mar 13, 2027Hannover 96 IIvsKickers Emden
- Mar 13, 2027St. Pauli IIvsSchöningen
- Mar 13, 2027Phönix LübeckvsHSC Hannover
- Mar 13, 2027TodesfeldevsEimsbütteler TV