Welling United vs Maldon & Tiptree: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Maldon & Tiptree?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Welling United (1,769) and Maldon & Tiptree (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Maldon & Tiptree have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Maldon & Tiptree?
- The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Maldon & Tiptree played?
- Welling United vs Maldon & Tiptree is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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