Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United played?

Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex

Maldon & Tiptree

Welling United

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,869) and Welling United (1,770).

Maldon & Tiptree win53 %

Draw23 %

Welling United win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Welling United have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maldon & Tiptree
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leatherhead(away)	4-1	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Dartford(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Aveley(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-6	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026	Walthamstow(away)	2-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian North

Welling United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dartford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026	Stanway Rovers(home)	4-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026	Leatherhead(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026	Whitehawk(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maldon & Tiptree	1.9	1.3	6	8/15	10/15
Welling United	2.0	1.3	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Welling United sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Welling United	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
12	Maldon & Tiptree	4	2	0	2	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United?: The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Welling United.
Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United played?: Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.