Match

Welling United vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent

Welling UnitedWingate & Finchley

The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Welling United vs Wingate & Finchley?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Welling United (1,801) and Wingate & Finchley (1,757).

Welling United win57 %
Draw23 %
Wingate & Finchley win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Wingate & Finchley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Aveley(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Welling United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Wingate & Finchley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Wingate & Finchley 1-1 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 10, 2026Welling United 1-0 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs Welling United on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Welling United2.01.358/159/15
Wingate & Finchley1.11.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welling United43011049
16Wingate & Finchley4121455

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Wingate & Finchley?
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Wingate & Finchley.
Where and when is Welling United vs Wingate & Finchley played?
Welling United vs Wingate & Finchley is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Welling United and Wingate & Finchley

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