West Brom vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Middlesbrough?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate West Brom (1,929) and Middlesbrough (2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Brom vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 19A. Heggebø
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 West Brom wins, 0 draws, 6 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Jan 16, 2026 | West Brom 2-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Middlesbrough 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Middlesbrough 2-0 West Brom | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2024 | West Brom 0-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs West Brom on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 4th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
A question about West Brom vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for West Brom.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Middlesbrough played?
- West Brom vs Middlesbrough is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.