Burnley vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Norwich?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Burnley (1,914) and Norwich (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Norwich
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 9J. Vardy
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 19L. Ramazani
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 23Lucas Pires
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 37G. Coudert
Norwich
4-2-3-1- 30M. Kvistgaarden
- 7P. Mattsson
- 11A. Brooks
- 29O. Schwartau
- 16Jacob Wright
- 20A. Ben Slimane
- 33J. Córdoba
- 15Ruairi McConville
- 3J. Stacey
- 14B. Chrisene
- 32D. Grimshaw
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Norwich have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-5 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Burnley wins, 0 draws, 2 Norwich wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Norwich 4-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Burnley 2-1 Norwich | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Norwich 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Norwich 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Burnley 1-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Norwich 2-0 Burnley | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Norwich | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 11 matches) and Norwich sit 21st (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Burnley vs Norwich?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Norwich?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Norwich played?
- Burnley vs Norwich is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.