West Ham vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Watford. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,516 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Watford?
West Ham is a heavy favourite: 2,162 Elo points against 1,800, a 363-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Ham vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Ham
4-4-1-1- 9J. Piroe
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 19Pablo
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 7O. Maamma
- 20M. Doumbia
- 6M. Pollock
- 23O. Traoré
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Watford have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 West Ham wins, 1 draw, 0 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Watford 1-1 West Ham | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2022 | West Ham 1-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Watford 1-4 West Ham | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2020 | West Ham 3-1 Watford | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Watford 1-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| May 12, 2019 | Watford 1-4 West Ham | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 3rd in Championship (19 points from 10 matches) and Watford sit 22nd (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 19 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
A question about West Ham vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 75%, against 17% for a draw and 8% for Watford.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Watford played?
- West Ham vs Watford is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.