West Ham vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Middlesbrough. The most likely score is 1-1. If West Ham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,165 vs 2,044).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Ham vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Ham
4-4-2- 11V. Castellanos
- 9J. Piroe
- 7A. Engels
- 14D. Mukasa
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 2K. Walker-Peters
- 5Morato
- 1M. Hermansen
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 West Ham wins, 2 draws, 0 Middlesbrough wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | Middlesbrough 1-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2016 | West Ham 1-1 Middlesbrough | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2012 | West Ham 1-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Middlesbrough 0-2 West Ham | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs West Ham on Jan 21, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 5th in Championship (16 points from 9 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
A question about West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Middlesbrough.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Middlesbrough played?
- West Ham vs Middlesbrough is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.