West Ham vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Bristol City?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (2,198 vs 1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Ham vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Ham
4-2-3-1- 19Pablo
- 7A. Engels
- 20J. Bowen
- 10M. Solomon
- 14D. Mukasa
- 17M. Kanté
- 3M. Kilman
- 15K. Mavropanos
- 5Morato
- 34J. Veltman
- 1M. Hermansen
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 19G. Tanner
- 5R. Atkinson
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Bristol City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 West Ham win, 3 draws, 1 Bristol City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | Bristol City 1-0 West Ham | FA Cup |
| Jan 7, 2024 | West Ham 1-1 Bristol City | FA Cup |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Bristol City 0-1 West Ham | FA Cup |
| Apr 17, 2012 | Bristol City 1-1 West Ham | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2011 | West Ham 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs West Ham on Jan 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 2nd in Championship (22 points from 11 matches) and Bristol City sit 16th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 22 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
A question about West Ham vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes West Ham the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Bristol City played?
- West Ham vs Bristol City is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.