Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC)CommBank Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Western Sydney Wanderers (1,771) and Central Coast Mariners (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Western Sydney Wanderers have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sydney United(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Central Coast Mariners win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th in A-League (21 points from 26 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 9th (32 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 42 | 32 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at CommBank Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.