Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction and stats
A-LeagueMatchday 24Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC)CommBank Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Central Coast Mariners. The most likely score is 1-1. If Western Sydney Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,506 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?
On Elo ratings, Western Sydney Wanderers has 1,718 points and Central Coast Mariners 1,647.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Western Sydney Wanderers
4-2-3-1- 26B. Borello
- 32A. Thurgate
- 8Dylan Scicluna
- 21L. Gillion
- 10M. Di Pizio
- 14N. Milanovic
- 33G. Ferreyra
- 36P. Madanha
- 17J. Carluccio
- 24N. Barrie
- 20L. Thomas
Central Coast Mariners
4-4-2- 9O. Lavale
- 37B. Brandtman
- 72A. Auglah
- 8C. Donnell
- 6H. Eames
- 39A. Bolton
- 5L. Mauragis
- 12Noah McCann
- 3Samuel Dikoš
- 15S. Roux
- 30A. Redmayne
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Western Sydney Wanderers have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Central Coast Mariners have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Auckland(home) | 5-2 | A-League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 1-4 | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(home) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vanuatu United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Western Sydney Wanderers wins, 0 draws, 4 Central Coast Mariners wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Central Coast Mariners 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Central Coast Mariners | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Central Coast Mariners score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Central Coast Mariners | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Western Sydney Wanderers sit 6th in A-League (5 points from 4 matches) and Central Coast Mariners sit 11th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?
- The Footlab AI model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Central Coast Mariners.
- Where and when is Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners played?
- Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners is played on April 11, 2027 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at CommBank Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.