Melbourne City vs Macarthur: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Macarthur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Melbourne City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Macarthur?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Melbourne City (1,872) and Macarthur (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melbourne City vs Macarthur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melbourne City
4-3-3- 17M. Caputo
- 35M. Memeti
- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 41L. Wong
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 22P. Antoniou
- 4L. Bonetig
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Macarthur
4-2-3-1- 9B. Gibson
- 17O. Randazzo
- 22L. Rose
- 35A. El-Sabeh
- 8L. Vickery
- 23K. Grozos
- 25C. Talbot
- 21N. Paull
- 33H. Menham
- 5J. Aspropotamitis
- 1A. Robinson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Macarthur have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Melbourne City win, 2 draws, 3 Macarthur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Macarthur 6-2 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Melbourne City 1-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Melbourne City 2-0 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Macarthur 1-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Macarthur 2-0 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur vs Melbourne City on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne City sit 6th in A-League (38 points from 26 matches) and Macarthur sit 7th (34 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
A question about Melbourne City vs Macarthur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melbourne City vs Macarthur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melbourne City the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Macarthur.
- Where and when is Melbourne City vs Macarthur played?
- Melbourne City vs Macarthur is played on April 9, 2027 at 09:40 AM (UTC) at AAMI Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.