Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Sky Stadium, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Brisbane Roar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wellington Phoenix wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,386 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Wellington Phoenix starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,633).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wellington Phoenix
4-4-2- 99C. Piper
- 9R. Durán
- 25K. Nagasawa
- 8M. Anderson
- 7B. Duke
- 14A. Rufer
- 28B. Tuiloma
- 18L. Kelly-Heald
- 27M. Sheridan
- 23J. McGarry
- 13H. Gray
Brisbane Roar
3-5-2- 17J. Vidic
- 9V. Postolachi
- 6N. Maieroni
- 19S. Ngor
- 10Nam Tae-Hee
- 13T. Russell
- 8T. Francois
- 77M. Stajic
- 16J. King
- 5T. Aldred
- 40George Plusnin
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellington Phoenix have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Brisbane Roar have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Newcastle Jets(away) | 3-0 | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 2-0 | A-League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 0-4 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Macarthur(away) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Auckland(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 2-4 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wellington Phoenix wins, 1 draw, 1 Brisbane Roar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 1-2 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Brisbane Roar 0-3 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
| May 14, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Brisbane Roar | Australia Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Brisbane Roar 1-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Brisbane Roar | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Brisbane Roar score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wellington Phoenix sit 1st in A-League (10 points from 4 matches) and Brisbane Roar sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wellington Phoenix the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Brisbane Roar.
- Where and when is Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar played?
- Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar is played on April 9, 2027 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Sky Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.