Match

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory: prediction and stats

A-LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Western Sydney WanderersPerth Glory

The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Western Sydney Wanderers (1,771) and Perth Glory (1,717).

Western Sydney Wanderers win47 %
Draw24 %
Perth Glory win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Western Sydney Wanderers have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Perth Glory have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Western Sydney Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Melbourne Victory(home)1-1Australia Cup
Jul 28, 2026Chelsea(away)4-6Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026Cooma Tigers FC(away)2-0Australia Cup
Apr 25, 2026Melbourne Victory(home)0-2A-League
Apr 18, 2026Wellington Phoenix(away)1-2A-League
Perth Glory
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2026Lions(away)1-1Australia Cup
Apr 25, 2026Brisbane Roar(home)2-1A-League
Apr 18, 2026Sydney(away)0-0A-League
Apr 12, 2026Macarthur(home)3-1A-League
Apr 4, 2026Central Coast Mariners(away)2-2A-League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Perth Glory win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 Perth GloryA-League
Dec 5, 2025Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
Mar 2, 2025Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 Perth GloryA-League
Jan 14, 2025Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
Mar 16, 2024Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney WanderersA-League
Jan 20, 2024Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Perth GloryA-League

Last archived meeting: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Perth Glory score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Western Sydney Wanderers1.52.3210/1510/15
Perth Glory1.21.6111/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th in A-League (21 points from 26 matches) and Perth Glory sit 10th (31 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Perth Glory268711323931
12Western Sydney Wanderers265615274321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory?
The Footlab model makes Western Sydney Wanderers the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Perth Glory.
Where and when is Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory played?
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory is played on December 5, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at CommBank Stadium, in the A-League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Western Sydney Wanderers and Perth Glory

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