Match

Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset

Weston-super-MareFarnborough

The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Farnborough (1,776).

Weston-super-Mare win49 %
Draw25 %
Farnborough win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Farnborough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Weston-super-Mare 4-1 FarnboroughNational League - South
Aug 25, 2025Farnborough 1-3 Weston-super-MareNational League - South
Mar 1, 2025Farnborough 2-1 Weston-super-MareNational League - South
Nov 23, 2024Weston-super-Mare 4-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Mar 26, 2024Weston-super-Mare 0-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Sep 30, 2023Farnborough 0-1 Weston-super-MareFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837
7Farnborough4211447

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough?
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough played?
Weston-super-Mare vs Farnborough is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Weston-super-Mare and Farnborough

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