Horsham vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Camping World Community Stadium, Horsham, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Horsham vs Maidenhead?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Horsham (1,821) and Maidenhead (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Horsham have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Horsham win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Horsham 1-2 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Maidenhead 2-1 Horsham | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Horsham sit 2nd in National League - South (8 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Horsham vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Horsham the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Horsham vs Maidenhead played?
- Horsham vs Maidenhead is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Camping World Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 16, 2027TorquayvsAFC Totton
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- Feb 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBillericay Town
- Feb 16, 2027Slough TownvsTruro City
- Feb 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
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