Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Dover played?

Chelmsford City vs Dover is played on February 15, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chelmsford City vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 15, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex

Chelmsford City

Dover

The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelmsford City vs Dover?

Chelmsford City starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,727).

Chelmsford City win59 %

Draw22 %

Dover win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelmsford City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Folkestone Invicta(away)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-1	National League - South
Apr 25, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	1-3	National League - South
Apr 18, 2026	Chesham United(away)	2-0	National League - South

Dover
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	3-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Slough Town(home)	5-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Billericay Town(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Carshalton Athletic(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelmsford City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dover win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Chelmsford City 1-2 Dover	National League - South
Oct 28, 2025	Dover 0-1 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Apr 1, 2024	Dover 1-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Oct 23, 2023	Chelmsford City 3-3 Dover	National League - South
Feb 18, 2023	Dover 0-0 Chelmsford City	National League - South
Nov 7, 2022	Chelmsford City 0-0 Dover	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Dover on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chelmsford City	1.5	1.4	5	9/15	6/15
Dover	1.2	1.8	2	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelmsford City sit 17th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
17	Chelmsford City	3	0	3	0	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Dover?: The Footlab model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Dover.
Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Dover played?: Chelmsford City vs Dover is played on February 15, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.