Chelmsford City vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 15, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chelmsford City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Dover?
On Elo ratings, Chelmsford City has 1,909 points and Dover 1,831.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelmsford City vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelmsford City
Not enough data to predict the Chelmsford City lineup.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelmsford City have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Dover have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Canvey Island(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chelmsford City win, 3 draws, 2 Dover wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chelmsford City 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dover 0-1 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Dover 1-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Chelmsford City 3-3 Dover | National League - South |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dover 0-0 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Nov 7, 2022 | Chelmsford City 0-0 Dover | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chelmsford City vs Dover on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelmsford City score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Dover | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelmsford City sit 14th in National League - South (14 points from 10 matches) and Dover sit 9th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 14 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
A question about Chelmsford City vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelmsford City vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelmsford City the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Dover.
- Where and when is Chelmsford City vs Dover played?
- Chelmsford City vs Dover is played on February 15, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Melbourne Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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