Torquay vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs AFC Totton?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Torquay (1,876) and AFC Totton (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Torquay win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AFC Totton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | AFC Totton 1-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Sep 13, 2025 | AFC Totton 2-0 Torquay | FA Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Torquay 3-1 AFC Totton | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: AFC Totton vs Torquay on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs AFC Totton?
- The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is Torquay vs AFC Totton played?
- Torquay vs AFC Totton is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 15, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDover
- Feb 16, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsBraintree
- Feb 16, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Feb 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBillericay Town
- Feb 16, 2027Slough TownvsTruro City
- Feb 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
- Feb 16, 2027Folkestone InvictavsTonbridge Angels
- Feb 16, 2027HorshamvsMaidenhead