Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Truro City (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Truro City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 0-2 Truro City | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Truro City 1-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 2-3 Truro City | National League - South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Truro City 0-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 2-0 Truro City | FA Cup |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Truro City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City on Apr 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City?
- The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Truro City.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Truro City is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 28, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsMaidstone Utd
- Dec 28, 2026TorquayvsSalisbury
- Dec 28, 2026DovervsEbbsfleet United
- Dec 28, 2026BraintreevsFolkestone Invicta
- Dec 28, 2026MaidenheadvsWalton & Hersham
- Dec 28, 2026Billericay TownvsChelmsford City
- Dec 28, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Dec 28, 2026Chesham UnitedvsSlough Town