Torquay vs Salisbury: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torquay wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Salisbury?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Torquay (1,928) and Salisbury (1,888).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Salisbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Salisbury
4-3-3- OO. Dore
- DD. Fitchett
- JJ. Hedges
- CC. Watts
- RR. Silva
- 8Lewis Brown
- 6Sido Jombati
- JJosh Sommerton
- TThomas Leggett
- BBrian Dutton
- 27R. Byrne
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Salisbury have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Stoneham(home) | 6-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Torquay wins, 1 draw, 0 Salisbury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Torquay 2-1 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Salisbury 0-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Torquay 2-2 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Salisbury 0-1 Torquay | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 12th in National League - South (16 points from 11 matches) and Salisbury sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 16 |
A question about Torquay vs Salisbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Salisbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Salisbury.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Salisbury played?
- Torquay vs Salisbury is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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