Dover vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Ebbsfleet United?
On Elo ratings, Dover has 1,811 points and Ebbsfleet United 1,899.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Dover wins, 0 draws, 6 Ebbsfleet United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 4-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Dover 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Dover 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 2-0 Dover | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Dover | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Dover on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 6th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Dover vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dover.
- Where and when is Dover vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Dover vs Ebbsfleet United is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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