Chesham United vs Slough Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Meadow, Chesham, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Slough Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesham United vs Slough Town?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Chesham United (1,792) and Slough Town (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesham United have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Slough Town have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Slough Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Chesham United 4-1 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Slough Town 3-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chesham United 2-3 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Slough Town 1-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Slough Town on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Slough Town | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesham United sit 18th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Slough Town sit 23rd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesham United vs Slough Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Slough Town.
- Where and when is Chesham United vs Slough Town played?
- Chesham United vs Slough Town is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Meadow, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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