Wexford vs Longford Town: prediction and stats
First DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Ferrycarrig Park, Newcastle, Crossabeg
The Footlab model makes Longford Town the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Wexford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wexford vs Longford Town?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Wexford (1,297) and Longford Town (1,387).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wexford have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Longford Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCD(away) | 1-4 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 0-1 | First Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Longford Town(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 4-2 | First Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-4 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Finn Harps(home) | 5-0 | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wexford win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Longford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Longford Town 1-2 Wexford | First Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Wexford 1-2 Longford Town | First Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Longford Town 2-0 Wexford | First Division |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Longford Town 2-2 Wexford | First Division |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Wexford 0-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| May 3, 2025 | Longford Town 2-1 Wexford | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Longford Town vs Wexford on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wexford score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Longford Town score 2.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wexford | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Longford Town | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wexford sit 5th in First Division (26 points from 20 matches) and Longford Town sit 6th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Longford Town | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 5 | Wexford | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 6 | Longford Town | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | Wexford | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 41 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wexford vs Longford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Longford Town the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Wexford.
- Where and when is Wexford vs Longford Town played?
- Wexford vs Longford Town is played on October 2, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Ferrycarrig Park, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.