Match

Whitehawk vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex

WhitehawkLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitehawk vs Leatherhead?

Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,657).

Whitehawk win23 %
Draw23 %
Leatherhead win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leatherhead4211987
19Whitehawk4013281

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Whitehawk vs Leatherhead played?
Whitehawk vs Leatherhead is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Whitehawk and Leatherhead

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