Wienerberg vs Donau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 28Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Wienerberg Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Donau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wienerberg vs Donau?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Wienerberg (1,609) and Donau (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wienerberg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Donau have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Oberwart(away) | 2-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Traiskirchen(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Parndorf(away) | 1-6 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hellas Kagran(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wienerberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Donau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Donau 0-0 Wienerberg | Landesliga - Wien |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Wienerberg 2-0 Donau | Landesliga - Wien |
| May 31, 2024 | Donau 1-0 Wienerberg | Landesliga - Wien |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Wienerberg 5-1 Donau | Landesliga - Wien |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Donau 2-2 Wienerberg | Landesliga - Wien |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Wienerberg 0-3 Donau | Landesliga - Wien |
How many goals should we expect?
Wienerberg score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Donau score 1.6 and concede 3.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wienerberg | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Donau | 1.6 | 3.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wienerberg sit 16th in Regionalliga - Ost (0 points from 4 matches) and Donau sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Donau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Donau | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wienerberg vs Donau?
- The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Donau.
- Where and when is Wienerberg vs Donau played?
- Wienerberg vs Donau is played on May 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Wienerberg Arena, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.