Wienerberg vs Gloggnitz: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - OstOst - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wienerberg Arena, Wien
The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gloggnitz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wienerberg vs Gloggnitz?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Wienerberg (1,609) and Gloggnitz (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wienerberg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gloggnitz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Oberwart(away) | 2-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Traiskirchen(home) | 3-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SV Horn(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parndorf(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiener SC(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mattersburg SV 2020(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Ost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Rapid Wien II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wienerberg score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gloggnitz score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wienerberg | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Gloggnitz | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wienerberg sit 16th in Regionalliga - Ost (0 points from 4 matches) and Gloggnitz sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloggnitz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Gloggnitz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wienerberg vs Gloggnitz?
- The Footlab model makes Wienerberg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gloggnitz.
- Where and when is Wienerberg vs Gloggnitz played?
- Wienerberg vs Gloggnitz is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wienerberg Arena, in the Regionalliga - Ost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.