Wigan vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Wigan (1,774) and Mansfield Town (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mansfield Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Wigan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mansfield Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Wigan 2-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Wigan | League One |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Mansfield Town 0-0 Wigan | League One |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Mansfield Town 0-2 Wigan | FA Cup |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Wigan 1-2 Mansfield Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Wigan vs Mansfield Town on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Mansfield Town played?
- Wigan vs Mansfield Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.