Weszlo vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Łomża. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weszlo vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Weszlo (1,796) and Łomża (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Weszlo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża 0-1 Weszlo | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Łomża.
- Where and when is Weszlo vs Łomża played?
- Weszlo vs Łomża is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsJagiellonia II
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsSwit
- Nov 28, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsMławianka Mława
- Nov 28, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Nov 28, 2026Warta SieradzvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 28, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 28, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsTroszyn