Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wingate & Finchley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town?
Chatham Town starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,908 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chatham Town have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chatham Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chatham Town 4-0 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Wingate & Finchley 0-3 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Chatham Town 3-1 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 1-1 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chatham Town 1-0 Wingate & Finchley | FA Trophy |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Wingate & Finchley 4-2 Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Chatham Town vs Wingate & Finchley on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chatham Town score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Chatham Town | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Chatham Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chatham Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chatham Town the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Wingate & Finchley.
- Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town played?
- Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham Town is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026DartfordvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 12, 2026LeatherheadvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 12, 2026WhitehawkvsEnfield Town
- Dec 12, 2026Brentwood TownvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026RamsgatevsWelling United
- Dec 12, 2026Three BridgesvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 12, 2026CheshuntvsWhyteleafe
- Dec 12, 2026Cray WanderersvsMaldon & Tiptree