Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Maurice Rebak Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for St Albans City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Wingate & Finchley (1,757) and St Albans City (1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wingate & Finchley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; St Albans City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Enfield Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wingate & Finchley win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 St Albans City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley 2-0 St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 27, 2025 | St Albans City 2-0 Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St Albans City score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & Finchley | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| St Albans City | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wingate & Finchley sit 16th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and St Albans City sit 13th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | St Albans City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City?
- The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for St Albans City.
- Where and when is Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City played?
- Wingate & Finchley vs St Albans City is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 28, 2026DartfordvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 28, 2026LeatherheadvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 28, 2026WhitehawkvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 28, 2026Brentwood TownvsAveley
- Dec 28, 2026RamsgatevsChatham Town
- Dec 28, 2026Three BridgesvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 28, 2026CheshuntvsEnfield Town
- Dec 28, 2026Cray WanderersvsWhyteleafe