WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Mtskheta Parki, Mtskheta
The Footlab model makes WIT Georgia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lokomotivi Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate WIT Georgia (1,390) and Lokomotivi Tbilisi (1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, WIT Georgia have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotivi Tbilisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Margveti 2006(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gardabani(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 2-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Dmanisi(away) | 3-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Basa(away) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 WIT Georgia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lokomotivi Tbilisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2-2 WIT Georgia | Liga 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | WIT Georgia 1-3 Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1-1 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 11, 2024 | WIT Georgia 3-0 Lokomotivi Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0-1 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi 3-1 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotivi Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
WIT Georgia score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotivi Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIT Georgia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
WIT Georgia sit 8th in Liga 3 (28 points from 18 matches) and Lokomotivi Tbilisi sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | WIT Georgia | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 18 | 28 |
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi?
- The Footlab model makes WIT Georgia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Lokomotivi Tbilisi.
- Where and when is WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi played?
- WIT Georgia vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Mtskheta Parki, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.