Worcester City vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Leighton Town?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,834) and Leighton Town (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Worcester City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leighton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town 2-1 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Worcester City on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Leighton Town played?
- Worcester City vs Leighton Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027StourbridgevsPeterborough Sports
- Mar 13, 2027Bury TownvsStratford Town
- Mar 13, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsHalesowen Town
- Mar 13, 2027Needham MarketvsAlvechurch
- Mar 13, 2027Redditch UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Mar 13, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeiston
- Mar 13, 2027Kettering TownvsLeamington
- Mar 13, 2027Anstey NomadsvsBromsgrove Sporting