Workington vs Warrington Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Warrington Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Warrington Town?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Workington (1,693) and Warrington Town (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warrington Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Workington win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Warrington Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Warrington Town 2-3 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Workington 1-1 Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Warrington Town vs Workington on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warrington Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Warrington Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Warrington Town sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warrington Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 19 | Workington | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Warrington Town?
- The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Warrington Town.
- Where and when is Workington vs Warrington Town played?
- Workington vs Warrington Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027BuryvsStockton Town
- Feb 13, 2027Guiseley AFCvsIlkeston Town
- Feb 13, 2027Gainsborough TrinityvsWhitby Town
- Feb 13, 2027Hyde UnitedvsCleethorpes Town
- Feb 13, 2027Ashton UnitedvsQuorn
- Feb 13, 2027Bamber BridgevsAFC Emley
- Feb 13, 2027Lancaster CityvsAvro
- Feb 13, 2027United of ManchestervsAlfreton Town