Bury vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Stockton Town?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,664).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury vs Stockton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Stockton Town
Not enough data to predict the Stockton Town lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stockton Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Prescot Cables(home) | 3-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bury wins, 0 draws, 1 Stockton Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town 1-0 Bury | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Stockton Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 10th in Non League Premier - Northern (26 points from 15 matches) and Stockton Town sit 19th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bury | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 26 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 15 |
A question about Bury vs Stockton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Stockton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Stockton Town.
- Where and when is Bury vs Stockton Town played?
- Bury vs Stockton Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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