Match

Guiseley AFC vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire

Guiseley AFCIlkeston Town

The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Ilkeston Town?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Ilkeston Town (1,732).

Guiseley AFC win44 %
Draw26 %
Ilkeston Town win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guiseley AFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Bury(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Workington(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Whitby Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Warrington Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Ilkeston Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cleethorpes Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Warrington Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Whitby Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026AFC Emley(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Stockton Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guiseley AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ilkeston Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Ilkeston Town 1-0 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 11, 2025Guiseley AFC 1-4 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 15, 2025Guiseley AFC 1-1 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 19, 2024Ilkeston Town 1-1 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern
Mar 23, 2024Guiseley AFC 1-2 Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 28, 2023Ilkeston Town 1-4 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guiseley AFC1.81.5213/1510/15
Ilkeston Town1.31.247/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Guiseley AFC531110710
13Ilkeston Town5203486

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Ilkeston Town?
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ilkeston Town.
Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Ilkeston Town played?
Guiseley AFC vs Ilkeston Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Guiseley AFC and Ilkeston Town

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