Match

Lancaster City vs Avro: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire

Lancaster CityAvro

The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lancaster City vs Avro?

Avro starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,745).

Lancaster City win31 %
Draw27 %
Avro win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lancaster City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Quorn(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)1-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Hyde United(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Rylands(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Ashton United(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Avro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hyde United(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Workington(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Alfreton Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)6-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Quorn(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lancaster City1.51.5510/1510/15
Avro3.31.3310/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lancaster City sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Avro540113612
18Lancaster City51136114

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Avro?
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Lancaster City.
Where and when is Lancaster City vs Avro played?
Lancaster City vs Avro is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lancaster City and Avro

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