Worthing vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Worthing. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worthing vs Carlisle?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Worthing (1,950) and Carlisle (1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worthing vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worthing
4-3-3- 24C. Kendall
- 27J. Young
- 7R. Coleman De-Graft
- 15R. Aguiar
- 4J. Wadham
- 28C. Waller
- 6Jayden Moore
- 2J. Colbran
- 3C. Adjetey-Brew
- 5J. Cook
- 13T. Seymour
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Worthing win, 0 draws, 0 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carlisle 2-3 Worthing | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worthing sit 5th in National League (24 points from 13 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
A question about Worthing vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Worthing.
- Where and when is Worthing vs Carlisle played?
- Worthing vs Carlisle is played on January 30, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.