Solihull Moors vs Harrogate Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)ARMCO Arena, Solihull, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Solihull Moors the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Harrogate Town?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Solihull Moors (1,709) and Harrogate Town (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Solihull Moors have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Harrogate Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Middlesbrough U21(home) | 1-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-5 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Solihull Moors win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Harrogate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harrogate Town 5-2 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Harrogate Town 2-2 Solihull Moors | National League |
| Dec 4, 2018 | Solihull Moors 2-0 Harrogate Town | National League |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Harrogate Town 3-1 Solihull Moors | National League |
Last archived meeting: Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Solihull Moors score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Solihull Moors sit 24th in National League (0 points from 3 matches) and Harrogate Town sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Solihull Moors vs Harrogate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Solihull Moors the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Harrogate Town.
- Where and when is Solihull Moors vs Harrogate Town played?
- Solihull Moors vs Harrogate Town is played on January 29, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at ARMCO Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.