Gateshead vs Eastleigh: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab model makes Gateshead the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gateshead vs Eastleigh?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Gateshead (1,704) and Eastleigh (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gateshead have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Eastleigh have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gateshead win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Eastleigh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh 2-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Gateshead 1-3 Eastleigh | National League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Eastleigh 0-2 Gateshead | National League |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Eastleigh 1-1 Gateshead | National League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Gateshead 2-1 Eastleigh | National League |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Gateshead 1-1 Eastleigh | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Gateshead on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eastleigh score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Eastleigh | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gateshead sit 17th in National League (3 points from 3 matches) and Eastleigh sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gateshead vs Eastleigh?
- The Footlab model makes Gateshead the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Gateshead vs Eastleigh played?
- Gateshead vs Eastleigh is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gateshead International Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.