Wrexham vs Cardiff: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Cardiff. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wrexham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wrexham vs Cardiff?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Wrexham (2,037) and Cardiff (2,024).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wrexham vs Cardiff
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wrexham
3-4-2-1- 19K. Moore
- 8B. Whiteman
- 3J. Ekomié
- 17C. O'Hare
- 12I. Kaboré
- 10J. Windass
- 27L. O'Brien
- 5D. Hyam
- 26Z. Vyner
- 2C. Doyle
- 22A. Patterson
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 8J. Moylan
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 38P. Ng
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 48D. Lawlor
- 1N. Trott
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-6 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Wrexham wins, 1 draw, 1 Cardiff win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cardiff 1-1 Wrexham | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Wrexham 1-2 Cardiff | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wrexham sit 16th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Cardiff sit 18th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Wrexham vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Cardiff?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wrexham the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Cardiff.
- Where and when is Wrexham vs Cardiff played?
- Wrexham vs Cardiff is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at STōK Cae Ras, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.