Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln played?

Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the DFB Pokal.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AKON ARENA, Würzburg

Würzburger Kickers

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Würzburger Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Würzburger Kickers (2,079) and 1. FC Köln (2,030).

Würzburger Kickers win25 %

Draw22 %

1. FC Köln win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Würzburger Kickers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Würzburger Kickers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	SV Wehen(home)	4-0	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(away)	2-2	3. Liga
Jul 30, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs
May 28, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(away)	1-0	Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga
May 10, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	1-3	Bundesliga

How many goals should we expect?

Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Würzburger Kickers	2.9	0.7	5	10/15	11/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Würzburger Kickers.
Where and when is Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln played?: Würzburger Kickers vs 1. FC Köln is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AKON ARENA, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.