Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

1899 Hoffenheim starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,161 vs 2,048).

1. FC Köln win42 %

Draw24 %

1899 Hoffenheim win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Köln win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	1. FC Köln 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 0-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023	1. FC Köln 1-3 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Apr 22, 2023	1899 Hoffenheim 1-3 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022	1. FC Köln 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.