Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers?
Würzburger Kickers starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Würzburger Kickers have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Wehen(home) | 4-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(away) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
| May 28, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Promotion Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Würzburger Kickers score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Würzburger Kickers | 2.9 | 0.7 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Würzburger Kickers sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Würzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers?
- The Footlab model makes Würzburger Kickers the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 12, 2026SV WehenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Sep 12, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 12, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 12, 2026Alemannia AachenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Sep 12, 2026VerlvsSV Meppen
- Sep 12, 2026HavelsevsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
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