Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Waldhof Mannheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim?
Rot-Weiß Essen starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Waldhof Mannheim have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 2-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Waldhof Mannheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Waldhof Mannheim 6-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Waldhof Mannheim score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Waldhof Mannheim sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Waldhof Mannheim.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Waldhof Mannheim is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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