Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Xankəndi FK. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Xankəndi FK (1,514) and Şahdağ (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xankəndi FK
Not enough data to predict the Xankəndi FK lineup.
Şahdağ
4-3-3- NNodar Məmmədov
- TTural Qürbətov
- RR. Mansurov
- RR. Əmirquliyev
- RR. Ağalarov
- ÆÆ. QarÉ™hmÉ™dov
- RRubin Seyidov
- RR. Hacıyev
- İİlyas Səfərzadə
- EElnur Şiriyev
- RRafiq Kərimov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Xankəndi FK have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Şahdağ have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | MOIK(home) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Səbail(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hypers Guba(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şimal(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Xankəndi FK score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Şahdağ score 1.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xankəndi FK | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| Şahdağ | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xankəndi FK sit 7th in Birinci Dasta (1 point from 3 matches) and Şahdağ sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Şahdağ | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Xankəndi FK.
- Where and when is Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ played?
- Xankəndi FK vs Şahdağ is played on October 15, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.